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Chuck Darwin<p>The payoff from Thiel’s early gamble in Trump is a lesson that has not passed others by. </p><p>As with their other obsession, <a href="https://c.im/tags/crypto" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>crypto</span></a>, the best time to have invested in Trump was 2016, <br />and the second best time is today. </p><p>We already have a word for what we’re watching now: <br />it’s <a href="https://c.im/tags/oligarchy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>oligarchy</span></a>. </p><p>And we’ve already seen how this plays out. </p><p>In Putin’s Russia, political and commercial interests are one and the same.</p><p>Thiel is betting <br />– again <br />– on the same phenomenon in America. </p><p>Betting that he will be first among a new breed of tech bro oligarchs <br />– a new super-class of <a href="https://c.im/tags/broligarchs" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>broligarchs</span></a>.</p><p>In Trump’s America, there will be hard choices for everyone, including the billionaires. -- <br />Though it may be less hard for them. </p><p>Vance has said he wants to <a href="https://c.im/tags/deregulate" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>deregulate</span></a> crypto and <br />unshackle AI. </p><p>He’s said he’d <a href="https://c.im/tags/dismantle" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>dismantle</span></a> Biden’s attempts to place safeguards around AI development.</p><p>And while he has it in for the <a href="https://c.im/tags/legacy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>legacy</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/monopolies" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>monopolies</span></a> of Google and Facebook<br /> – the platforms that his ideological bedfellows in the “new right” see as part of the “censorship industrial complex” suffocating rightwing speech <br />– Silicon Valley is betting on a gloves-off, regulation-free, pro-business <a href="https://c.im/tags/goldrush" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>goldrush</span></a>.</p><p>Another Peter Thiel acolyte was on stage at the Republican National Convention last week, <br />electrifying the crowd: <br /><a href="https://c.im/tags/Hulk" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Hulk</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Hogan" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Hogan</span></a>. </p><p>Hogan is less well known as one of Thiel’s longterm bets, though in some ways he’s even more instructive than Vance. </p><p>In 2007, the online magazine <a href="https://c.im/tags/Gawker" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Gawker</span></a> outed Thiel and ran a series of unflattering articles about him. </p><p>It took him years, but he ultimately got his revenge, covertly funding Hulk Hogan to the tune of $10m to sue the publication for invasion of privacy and forcing it into <a href="https://c.im/tags/bankruptcy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>bankruptcy</span></a>.</p><p>On stage at the RNC, the wrestler, a permatanned orange, ripped off his shirt for the man who increasingly looks like he’ll be America’s next president. </p><p>Or, if JD Vance, is correct, the man who will prove to be the <a href="https://c.im/tags/Caesar" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Caesar</span></a> he says America needs. </p><p>A man who he has already urged to fire the nation’s civil servants to<br />💥 “replace them with our people”, <br />to defy the courts and rule his own way. </p><p>Or, to put this in simple terms: <br />to foment a <a href="https://c.im/tags/coup" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>coup</span></a>.</p><p>Thiel knows what every investor knows. That a crisis is an opportunity. </p><p>And that if Trump succeeds in tearing up the federal administration, <br />there is not only billions to be made in the ensuing market <a href="https://c.im/tags/turmoil" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>turmoil</span></a> but that a new breed of oligarchs, <br />close to Caesar’s throne, will be the first to share the spoils.</p><p>And chief among them will be Thiel. </p><p>It’s not a stretch to see how <a href="https://c.im/tags/Palantir" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Palantir</span></a>, his data-mining company <br />– that under the Conservatives got its teeth into the NHS <br />– will profile and surveil and target Caesar’s enemies. </p><p>And Thiel’s track record in winning, in successfully betting on the longest of odds, on biding his time, is maybe the most chilling of all the factors in a fortnight that has started to feel like the start of a run on the bank.</p><p>Biden’s debate disaster, <br />Trump’s victorious assassination survival, <br />and now Silicon Valley’s ascension to the presidential ticket. </p><p>The broligarchs have made their move <br />– and the rest of us need to understand exactly what that means.</p><p> <a href="https://c.im/tags/tech" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>tech</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/elite" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>elite</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sandberg" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Sandberg</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Page" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Page</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Bezos" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Bezos</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Peter" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Peter</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Thiel" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Thiel</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/tech" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>tech</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/bro" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>bro</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Vance" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Vance</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Elon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Elon</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Musk" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Musk</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Marc" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Marc</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Andreessen" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Andreessen</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Ben" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Ben</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Horowitz" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Horowitz</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Winklevoss" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Winklevoss</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Chamath" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Chamath</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Palihapitiya" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Palihapitiya</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/David" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>David</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sacks" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Sacks</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Palantir" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Palantir</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Vance" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Vance</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Mithril" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Mithril</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Capital" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Capital</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Narya" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Narya</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Capital" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Capital</span></a></p>
Chuck Darwin<p>Tech broligarchs are lining up to court Trump. And Vance is one more link in the chain</p><p>Less than a month after Donald Trump was elected president in November 2016, <br />he invited the cream of Silicon Valley&#39;s <a href="https://c.im/tags/tech" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>tech</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/elite" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>elite</span></a> to a meeting at his transition team’s headquarters at Trump Tower.</p><p>It was an awkward affair. <br />Facebook’s Sheryl <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sandberg" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Sandberg</span></a>, Google’s Larry <a href="https://c.im/tags/Page" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Page</span></a> and Amazon’s Jeff <a href="https://c.im/tags/Bezos" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Bezos</span></a> had facial expressions that ranged from a semi-rictus grin to full tech-mogul-in-a-hostage-situation. </p><p>But then, in a sense they were. There was a new sheriff in town – and none of them had seen him coming.</p><p>But one person was in his element. Seated next to Trump, uncomplicatedly beaming, was a South African-born tech entrepreneur whose early investment in Facebook had made him billions.</p><p>This was <a href="https://c.im/tags/Peter" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Peter</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Thiel" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Thiel</span></a>. </p><p>And if this past week marked an inflection point, and there are many reasons to believe it did, <br />the seeds of it were planted in the summer of 2016. </p><p>This was when Trump was the outside candidate. The man no respectable west coast tech entrepreneur or east coast business elite wanted to touch.</p><p>Last week marked a decisive end to that era. </p><p>A week in which Donald Trump not only appointed a <a href="https://c.im/tags/tech" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>tech</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/bro" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>bro</span></a> to be his second in command, choosing Senator JD <a href="https://c.im/tags/Vance" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Vance</span></a> to be his VP, <br />but in which he received the benediction of the tech bro-in-chief, <a href="https://c.im/tags/Elon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Elon</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Musk" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Musk</span></a>.</p><p>Musk has said he will donate<br />💥 $45m a month to Trump’s campaign, <br />💥though his ongoing endorsement on X, <br /> the platform he bought and owns, is worth countless millions more.</p><p>But it’s some lesser-known figures in Silicon Valley who last week boarded the Trump bandwagon who are perhaps even more telling. </p><p><a href="https://c.im/tags/Marc" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Marc</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Andreessen" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Andreessen</span></a> and <a href="https://c.im/tags/Ben" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Ben</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Horowitz" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Horowitz</span></a>, who own one of the most storied and influential venture capital (VC) firms in Silicon Valley, <br />have declared they’re all in for Trump alongside a host of lesser-known but important names who have either followed suit or who beat them to the punch, <br />including the <a href="https://c.im/tags/Winklevoss" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Winklevoss</span></a> twins and investors and podcast hosts <a href="https://c.im/tags/Chamath" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Chamath</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Palihapitiya" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Palihapitiya</span></a> and <a href="https://c.im/tags/David" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>David</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Sacks" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Sacks</span></a>.</p><p>Back in 2016, Peter Thiel was the voice in the wilderness. And in that meeting in Trump Tower, it was Thiel’s hand that Trump picked up and stroked. </p><p>(And whose data mining firm, <a href="https://c.im/tags/Palantir" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Palantir</span></a>, picked up billions of dollars in contracts from Trump’s Department of Defense, and, most controversially, Homeland Security’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency, where it profiled and surveilled migrants.)</p><p>The principle that underpins Silicon Valley investing is to bet early and bet big. </p><p>It worked for Thiel with Facebook. It worked for Thiel with Trump. And last week another of his bets paid off, though few could ever have predicted how spectacularly.</p><p>Because JD <a href="https://c.im/tags/Vance" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Vance</span></a>, the new potential VP, is Thiel’s creature. </p><p>He is a man Thiel moulded in his own image through lavish investments in his business and political careers. <br />Thiel gave Vance a job at his VC firm, <a href="https://c.im/tags/Mithril" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Mithril</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Capital" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Capital</span></a>, backed him to start his own venture fund, <a href="https://c.im/tags/Narya" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Narya</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Capital" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Capital</span></a>, then later invested $15m in his successful run for the senate. <br />Max Chafkin, Thiel’s biographer, describes Vance as his “extension”.</p><p> <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/20/tech-broligarchs-court-trump-vance-elon-musk-peter-thiel?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">theguardian.com/us-news/articl</span><span class="invisible">e/2024/jul/20/tech-broligarchs-court-trump-vance-elon-musk-peter-thiel?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other</span></a></p>