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Raurquiz<p><a href="https://c.im/tags/diainternacionaldelamujer" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>diainternacionaldelamujer</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/InternationalWomensDay" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>InternationalWomensDay</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/transfomers" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>transfomers</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/t30" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>t30</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/warforcybetron" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>warforcybetron</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/masterpiece" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>masterpiece</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/binaltech" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>binaltech</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/ss86" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>ss86</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/legacy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>legacy</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/riseofthebeasts" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>riseofthebeasts</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/autobot" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>autobot</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/arcee" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>arcee</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/kingdom" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>kingdom</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/beastwars" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>beastwars</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/blackarachnia" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>blackarachnia</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/airrazor" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>airrazor</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/cyberverse" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>cyberverse</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/windblade" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>windblade</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/bumblebeemovie" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>bumblebeemovie</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/shatter" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>shatter</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/botcon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>botcon</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/shadowstriker" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>shadowstriker</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>roulette</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/jurassicpark" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>jurassicpark</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/tyranoconrex" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>tyranoconrex</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/actionfigures" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>actionfigures</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/hasbro" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>hasbro</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/takaratomytoys" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>takaratomytoys</span></a></p>
Sunny2 | 🖤🕯#Natenom🚴🏻🐘<p>Neues Schreckgespenst mit schwarzem Kittel geht um in Deutschland: <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/BlackRock" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>BlackRock</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Merz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Merz</span></a><br>Während <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Trump</span></a> sich bemüht, <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Wahlversprechen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Wahlversprechen</span></a> einzulösen, hat Merz seine sofort skrupellos entsorgt. Ihm ist egal, wie er an die Macht kommt.<br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Populismus" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Populismus</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Wahll%C3%BCge" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Wahllüge</span></a> <br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/500Milliarden" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>500Milliarden</span></a> auf Pump - ohne dazu auch nur ansatzweise nachhaltige sozialverträgliche Steuerungen zu implementieren - für Deutschland eine neue Version von <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Roulette</span></a> ... 😳<br>😧 statt vernünftiger <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Reform" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Reform</span></a> der Schuldenbremse<br><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/500MilliardenSonderverm%C3%B6gen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>500MilliardenSondervermögen</span></a></p>
Hubu.de<p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>news</span></a> ⚡ Lang: „Merz spielt russisches Roulette“: Die ehemalige Vorsitzende der Grünen, Ricarda Lang, hat den Unionskanzlerkandidaten Friedrich Merz wegen seiner Absicht, bei der Einb... <a href="https://hubu.de/?p=263815" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">hubu.de/?p=263815</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> | <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/merz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>merz</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>roulette</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/hubu" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>hubu</span></a></p>
DaLetra English<p>See the lyrics for the song “Roulette” by System of a Down<br><a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/SystemOfADown" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SystemOfADown</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/Roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Roulette</span></a><br><a href="https://daletra.com/system-of-a-down/lyrics/roulette.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">daletra.com/system-of-a-down/l</span><span class="invisible">yrics/roulette.html</span></a></p>
patryx<p>über das Edward O. Thorp interview &quot;Beating Blackjack and Roulette, Beating the Stock Market, and More&quot; (93 min.)</p><p><a href="https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CNvz91Jyzbg" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">m.youtube.com/watch?v=CNvz91Jy</span><span class="invisible">zbg</span></a></p><p>siehe auch <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gs39QFYIbBY" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">youtube.com/watch?v=gs39QFYIbB</span><span class="invisible">Y</span></a><br />(Ed. Thorp referenced earlier in <a href="https://c.im/@patryx/109790459459076185" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">c.im/@patryx/10979045945907618</span><span class="invisible">5</span></a>)</p><p>ich hatte den namen Thorp vorher noch nicht gehoert. <br />erstaunlicherweise wusste er z.B., dass Bernie Madoff ein Betrueger war -- und zwar (1991) schon 17 jahre bevor dieser aufflog*. (Thorp riet damals seinen Kunden, ihre Investitionen bei Madoff zu liquidieren - teilte seine Erkenntnisse jedoch nicht den Aufsichtsbehörden mit.)</p><p>Thorp hatte ab 1955 einen &#39;computer&#39; mit elf transistoren gebaut, der voraussagen beim Roulette erlaubte.<br />es war der erste tragbare computer.</p><p>die genaue beschreibung des geraetes und die entwicklungsgeschichte dahinter: <a href="https://www.cs.virginia.edu/~evans/thorp.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cs.virginia.edu/~evans/thorp.p</span><span class="invisible">df</span></a></p><p>computer kann man das geraet aber meines erachtens nicht nennen, obwohl es im MIT medialab als erster tragbarer computer ausgestellt wird. er hat keinen sensor und war vollkommen analog aufgebaut. <br />er wurde ueber einen schalter gesteuert, der mit dem grossen zeh des roulettespielers verbunden war,<br />um startsignale bzw. einen timer zu starten. ueber einen ohrhoerer lieferte er bestimmte toene, anhand dessen der zahlenbereich angegeben wurde, auf den es sich zu setzen lohnen wuerde.</p><p>eine genau beschreibung findet man hier: <a href="https://www.cs.virginia.edu/~evans/thorp.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cs.virginia.edu/~evans/thorp.p</span><span class="invisible">df</span></a></p><p>Thorp ging mit seiner beating blackjack-computer-programm- sowie roulette-idee anfangs zu claude shannon, dem vater der informationstheorie. <br />(dessen signalabtasttheorem mussten wir im ersten semester in theoretischer informatik studieren.)</p><p>Shannons sekretaerin wollte ihn erst nicht vorlassen. schliesslich wurden ihm ein paar minuten zugestanden,<br />woraus ein mehrstuendiges gespraech wurde.</p><p>nachdem die casinos jegliche technischen hilfen beim roulette verboten hatten, entwickelte er eine investmentstrategie fuer call-options, die fuer ihn sehr erfolgreich war, die aber nur solange funktionierte bis das sogenannte Black-Scholes-modell veroeffentlicht (und am markt eingesetzt) wurde, das nach aehnlichen, aber mathematisch fundierteren prinzipien funktioniert.</p><p>*</p><p>nachdenklich hat mich gemacht, dass Thorp, keine covid Impfung genommen hat, wie er gegen ende des interviews zum thema risikoanalyse erwaehnte. er trug nur maske, vermied menschenansammlungen und isolierte sich. er wusste, dass ca. 20% der 80-jaehrigen nach einer infektion sterben wuerden, ein risiko, das durch eine impfung auf ein zehntel davon verkleinert werden konnte. jedoch vertraute er wohl der mRNA-impfung nicht genug.</p><p>*</p><p>das mit dem weight-lifting, gym und marathon usw. ist meine erachtens keine Garantie um ein langes leben zu erreichen.<br />man weiss von Roosevelt, der, als er gefragt wurde, was er diesbezueglich als empfehlung geben koennte, <br />antwortete: &quot;sicher kein sport!&quot; </p><p>abgesehen von Thorps fitness-allueren ist das interview ueber weite Strecken aeusserst interessant. er spricht auch das klima bzw. co2-problem, nennt Ray Dalio als beste quelle fuer geopolitischen antzipaation, erklaert externalitaeten (not unexpected attribution; a situation in which the cost or benefit of an economic activity is not accounted for within the market, but rather affects third parties), gibt investment-advice, nennt neben Warren Buffett noch weitere wichtige investment genies wie Kenneth C. Griffins Citadel LLC (hedge fund), sowie <br />lesenswerte buecher, u.a. Charlie Mungers &#39;poor charlie&#39;s almanach&#39;, ein buch ueber Elon Musk (titel entfallen), ein buch ueber Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies fund, etc.</p><p>*</p><p>zum schluss sagt er (2022 war er 89yo), sinngemaess: the flattering fact, dass mein interview auf diesem beachtenswerten kanal veroeffentlicht wird, wird dazu fuehren, dass meine frau (nun endlich) auf mich hoert. :)</p><p>*</p><p>mehr details: <a href="https://macro-ops.com/lessons-trading-great-ed-thorp/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">macro-ops.com/lessons-trading-</span><span class="invisible">great-ed-thorp/</span></a></p><p>*) <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/streettalk/2010/04/06/the-card-sharp-who-cottoned-onto-madoffs-fraud-in-1991/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">forbes.com/sites/streettalk/20</span><span class="invisible">10/04/06/the-card-sharp-who-cottoned-onto-madoffs-fraud-in-1991/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://c.im/tags/EdwardOThorp" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>EdwardOThorp</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Thorp" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Thorp</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Edthorp" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Edthorp</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Blackjack" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Blackjack</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Roulette</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/spieltheorie" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>spieltheorie</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/gameTheory" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>gameTheory</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/probablity" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>probablity</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/wahrscheinlichkeitsTheoretiker" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>wahrscheinlichkeitsTheoretiker</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/stockmarket" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>stockmarket</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/aktienmarkt" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>aktienmarkt</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/BerkshireHathaway" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>BerkshireHathaway</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/warrenbuffet" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>warrenbuffet</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/ClaudeShannon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>ClaudeShannon</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/samplingTheorem" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>samplingTheorem</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Abtasttheorem" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Abtasttheorem</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/investieren" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>investieren</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/investment" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>investment</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/charlieMunger" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>charlieMunger</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/renaissanceTechnolgies" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>renaissanceTechnolgies</span></a></p>
Raurquiz<p><a href="https://c.im/tags/diainternacionaldelamujer" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>diainternacionaldelamujer</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/InternationalWomensDay" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>InternationalWomensDay</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/transfomers" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>transfomers</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/t30" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>t30</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/warforcybetron" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>warforcybetron</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/masterpiece" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>masterpiece</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/binaltech" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>binaltech</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/ss86" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>ss86</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/legacy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>legacy</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/riseofthebeasts" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>riseofthebeasts</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/autobot" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>autobot</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/arcee" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>arcee</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/kingdom" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>kingdom</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/beastwars" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>beastwars</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/blackarachnia" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>blackarachnia</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/airrazor" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>airrazor</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/cyberverse" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>cyberverse</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/windblade" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>windblade</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/bumblebeemovie" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>bumblebeemovie</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/shatter" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>shatter</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/botcon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>botcon</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/shadowstriker" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>shadowstriker</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>roulette</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/jurassicpark" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>jurassicpark</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/tyranoconrex" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>tyranoconrex</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/actionfigures" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>actionfigures</span></a> @hasbro @takaratomytoys</p>
Raurquiz<p><a href="https://c.im/tags/Transformers" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Transformers</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/carrobots" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>carrobots</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/robotsindisguise" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>robotsindisguise</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/c004" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>c004</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/autobot" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>autobot</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/speedracer" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>speedracer</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/sideburn" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>sideburn</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/clear" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>clear</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/c026" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>c026</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/superspeedracer" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>superspeedracer</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/botcon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>botcon</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/universe" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>universe</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/deception" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>deception</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/shadowstriker" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>shadowstriker</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>roulette</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/dodgeviper" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>dodgeviper</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/actionfigures" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>actionfigures</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/hasbro" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>hasbro</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/takaratomy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>takaratomy</span></a></p>
patryx<p>This 84 mins interview also explains the first wearable computer to predict roulette outcome:</p><p>Ed Thorp on How to Think for Yourself, How to Be Inner-Directed, and The Dangers of Investing Fads:</p><p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gs39QFYIbBY" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">youtube.com/watch?v=gs39QFYIbB</span><span class="invisible">Y</span></a></p><p>Details: <a href="https://www.cs.virginia.edu/~evans/thorp.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cs.virginia.edu/~evans/thorp.p</span><span class="invisible">df</span></a></p><p>da war kein sensor dabei. die benutzten ihren grossen zeh, um startsignale bzw. timer zu starten und einen ohrhoerer, der toene gab.</p><p>ein diagram der transistorschaltung habe ich auf die schnelle nicht gefunden.<br />computer kann man das aber nicht nennen.</p><p><a href="https://c.im/tags/EdThorp" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>EdThorp</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/investing" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>investing</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/EdwardOThorp" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>EdwardOThorp</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Thorp" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Thorp</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Blackjack" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Blackjack</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Roulette" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Roulette</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/spieltheorie" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>spieltheorie</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/gameTheory" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>gameTheory</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/probablity" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>probablity</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/wahrscheinlichkeitsTheoretiker" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>wahrscheinlichkeitsTheoretiker</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/stockmarket" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>stockmarket</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/aktienmarkt" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>aktienmarkt</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/BerkshireHathaway" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>BerkshireHathaway</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/ClaudeShannon" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>ClaudeShannon</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/samplingTheorem" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>samplingTheorem</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Abtasttheorem" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Abtasttheorem</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/investieren" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>investieren</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/investment" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>investment</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/investing" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>investing</span></a></p>