Create accountLogin

Recent searches

No recent searches

Search options

Only available when logged in.
c.im is one of the many independent Mastodon servers you can use to participate in the fediverse.
C.IM is a general, mainly English-speaking Mastodon instance.

Administered by:

Server stats:

2.8K
active users

c.im: AboutStatusProfiles directoryPrivacy policy

Mastodon: AboutGet the appKeyboard shortcutsView source codev4.3.6

#forecasting

1 post1 participant0 posts today
Public
Tomasz Woźniak

Having correctly predicted the last cut, my forecasting system has settled on an uncontroversial HOLD 🛑 prediction for the RBA’s April meeting. Regarding the interest rate’s values for the next year’s horizon, one needs to consider the world’s political uncertainty and its impact on inflation and economic activity in Australia. Providing the mid-term cash rate trajectory will not be possible before another two or three rate cuts. 📉

🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.i

#rstats#cashrate#forecasting
Replied in thread
Public
RaymondPierreL3

@ChrisMayLA6
#Forecasting (economics) is fraught with inaccuracies (as they must be in an irrational world) and yet, it is a vital task in setting #budgets, an ungrateful task. The problem lies not with the frail forecasts but with the decisions based on over optimistic outcomes and a desire to achieve, politically speaking, what few other govt have.

I relate it to #project management planning phases with spend lines and timings - very few (if any at all depending on the sector concerned) live up to their painstakingly put together Gantt charts.

And therein lies the lessons that govts seem clueless about.

Public
Timothy Schwinghamer (he/him)

Fired #climate scientist Tom Di Liberto says lives are at risk from #extremeweather as more cuts loom over the U.S. government agency responsible for #forecasting and much more. Di Liberto lost his job as part of a massive purge by the Trump administration, and worries the layoffs will not only cost the U.S. more money, but will cripple weather forecasting across the continent, leaving many people vulnerable to #NaturalHazards

What On Earth with Laura Lynch - cbc.ca/listen/live-radio/1-429

Continued thread
Public
Zhi Zhu 🕸️

DOGE moves to cancel #NOAA leases on key weather buildings
axios.com/2025/03/03/doge-noaa

"One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national #weather forecasts.

It was designed to integrate multiple #forecasting centers in one building to improve operating #efficiency. It houses telecommunications equipment to send weather #data & forecasts across the #US & abroad...

Elon Musk's #DOGE has been working through the #GSA to cancel #government leases"

Headline, photo with caption, and text from article. Headline: DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildings by Andrew Freedman Photo: A sign which reads, "NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction" in front of a weather forecasting building with the building and trees behind it. Caption: NOAA's Center for Weather and Climate Prediction headquarters in College Park, Md. Photo: Michael A. McCoy/Bloomberg via Getty Images Text: The Trump administration has informed NOAA that two pivotal centers for weather forecasting will soon have their leases canceled, sources told Axios. Why it matters: One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national weather forecasts.
#Musk#Coup#Trump
Public
AI6YR Ben

Axios: DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildings

"...two pivotal centers for weather forecasting will soon have their leases canceled, sources told Axios.

Why it matters: One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national weather forecasts. ..."

axios.com/2025/03/03/doge-noaa

A sign in front of a weather forecasting building with the building and trees behind it.
Axios · DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildingsBy Andrew Freedman
#wx#disaster#weather
Public
Victor

Projected La Niña/El Niño induced extreme weather for US. Extreme floods and droughts becoming more common. #climatechange #ElNiño #LaNiña #weather #forecasting #US nature.com/articles/s41612-025

NatureProjected increase in ENSO-induced US winter extreme hydroclimate events in SPEAR large ensemble simulation - npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceObservational records during the past several decades show a marked increase in boreal winter extreme US hydroclimate events, with extreme floods and droughts becoming more common. Coincidentally, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a key driver of US precipitation and associated extreme hydroclimate on interannual time scales, has also increased in amplitude and is projected to continue increasing throughout the 21st century. This study examines future changes in ENSO and its impacts on the US winter extreme hydroclimate events (e.g., drought and flood) by using a large ensemble simulation. Results in this study show that both the amplitude of ENSO and ENSO-induced atmospheric teleconnections are projected to strengthen, leading to a significant increase in US precipitation variability and extreme hydroclimate events, albeit with notable regional differences. Signal-to-noise ratio analysis shows that the ENSO signal explains a significantly increased fraction of the total variance in US winter precipitation compared to non-ENSO factors (i.e., noise), suggesting a growing role of ENSO in future US extreme hydroclimate events. Further analysis shows that while both the increase in ENSO amplitude and the atmospheric response to ENSO have a similar impact on the hydroclimate over the Southeast and Southwest US, the amplification of the atmospheric response to ENSO plays a more dominant role in the Northeast US.
Public
O=C=O

Some warnings about weather data when using -->
earth.nullschool.net

Text is:

#Weather and #climate data shown on this website and countless others are at risk.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (#NOAA) is the U.S. agency responsible for global weather #forecasting, #hurricane #prediction, #ocean #observation, and many other services vital to public safety. Its #satellites, #supercomputers, and research teams provide essential #data that help us understand our #planet and #protect #lives.

On February 27, the new U.S. administration initiated mass firings at NOAA. These actions are #unethical and deeply #disruptive to the talented #scientists and #engineers who dedicate themselves to the public good. The firings, along with expected budget cuts, have serious implications for the availability and #quality of #WeatherForecasts produced by the #UnitedStates. They must be reversed immediately.

Much of the data on this website is downloaded directly from NOAA's servers. In this environment of uncertainty, access could be #disrupted at any time. While I'll strive to keep all features on this website functional and switch to alternative data sources if necessary, some datasets have no substitute if they go offline.

If this concerns you, speak up. Share on #SocialMedia. And if you're in the U.S., contact your representatives.

Screenshot earth website notice Text is: #Weather and #climate data shown on this website and countless others are at risk. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (#NOAA) is the U.S. agency responsible for global weather #forecasting, #hurricane #prediction, #ocean #observation, and many other services vital to public safety. Its #satellites, #supercomputers, and research teams provide essential #data that help us understand our #planet and #protect #lives. On February 27, the new U.S. administration initiated mass firings at NOAA. These actions are #unethical and deeply #disruptive to the talented #scientists and #engineers who dedicate themselves to the public good. The firings, along with expected budget cuts, have serious implications for the availability and #quality of #WeatherForecasts produced by the #UnitedStates. They must be reversed immediately. Much of the data on this website is downloaded directly from NOAA's servers. In this environment of uncertainty, access could be #disrupted at any time. While I'll strive to keep all features on this website functional and switch to alternative data sources if necessary, some datasets have no substitute if they go offline. If this concerns you, speak up. Share on #SocialMedia. And if you're in the U.S., contact your representatives.
ExploreLive feeds
About